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Throughout the book, Higginbotham along with a number of individuals associated with the accident argue that a cloud of inevitability surrounds the Chernobyl explosion. On one hand, the number of factors—human, institutional, and subatomic—that had to go wrong to precipitate the Chernobyl incident makes it difficult to accept that such an accident is “inevitable.” There’s the flawed RBMK design; the failure of designers to properly inform operators of the flaws; the reckless implementation and operation of these reactors across the Soviet Union; the veil of secrecy surrounding nuclear incidents. And all that happens before the day of the explosion. There’s also the timing of the turbine generator test; Dyatlov’s order to lower the power; Toptunov’s mistake in carrying out this order; Dyatlov’s refusal to shut down the test at this precarious moment; the turbines exacerbating the positive void coefficient; and, finally, the AZ-5-induced runaway chain reaction. How could all of these things going wrong at once be “inevitable”?
And yet, all of these errors and flaws and quirks can to some degree or another attribute to qualities unique to the dysfunctional Soviet state. It’s something Legasov slowly comes to realize in the weeks following his triumphant testimony to the IAEA:
The academician insisted that nuclear power represented the zenith of atomic science and was essential for the future of civilization. But privately, Legasov had been struck by what he had heard Prime Minister Ryzhkov tell Gorbachev and rest of the Politburo more than a year earlier: that the explosion in Chernobyl had been inevitable, and that if it hadn’t happened there, it would have happened at another Soviet station sooner or later (322).
The Soviet Union’s dangerous attitude toward nuclear power throughout the second half of the 20th century is more than just political or bureaucratic. It includes the design of the reactors themselves. The nuclear program’s insistence on building and operating flawed, overly-large RBMK reactors as opposed to the PWR plants found throughout the West reflects all the qualities that came to define the Soviet Union during the 20th century: gigantomania, wastefulness, and a misguided trust in the Party-anointed elites to protect the Soviet citizenry. All of this is to say that the Chernobyl disaster came about not only as a consequence of a poor decision-making by plant operators and potentially catastrophic design flaws. Rather, the explosion was a product of the Soviet system itself, which lends credence to Higginbotham’s theme that the accident was all but inevitable given the dysfunction that lay at the heart of the USSR.
Brukhanov’s elevation to the position of plant director is also a significant factor reflecting qualities unique to the Soviet Union Like many plant directors and other high-ranking individuals within the Soviet Union’s nuclear program, Brukhanov’s key qualifications have less to do with any expertise in nuclear physics and more to do with his ability to work within the labyrinthine Soviet bureaucracy to achieve the Communist Party’s goals without asking too many questions. But even if Brukhanov possessed the technical wherewithal to build and run the Chernobyl plant with an emphasis on safety, other pressures within the Soviet Union would have still contributed to the accident by way of the shoddy construction standards necessitated by the USSR’s economic dysfunction.
In the years following the Chernobyl incident, Soviet scientists themselves finally address the inevitability of the explosion, the design flaws that caused it, and the bureaucracy that helped keep the flawed reactors in service.
Especially toward the end of the book, Higginbotham raises the question: To what extent did the Chernobyl explosion help cause the 1991 dissolution of the Soviet Union? Higginbotham draws a clear connection between the political fallout of the Chernobyl disaster and the acceleration of polices like glasnost and Gorbachev’s perestroika economic reforms which, historians agree, were major factors in the fall of the Soviet Union. “The cloud of radiation that spread out across Europe, making the catastrophe impossible to conceal, had forced the touted openness of Gorbachev’s glasnost on even the most reluctant conservatives in the Politburo. And the general secretary’s own realization that even the nuclear bureaucracy buckled to secrecy, incompetence, and stagnation convinced him that the entire state was rotten. After the accident, frustrated and angry, he confronted the need for truly drastic change and plunged deeply into perestroika in a desperate bid to rescue the Socialist experiment before it was too late” (327).
Certainly Chernobyl is not the only factor involved in the Soviet Union’s eventual demise. Among the biggest is the USSR’s war in Afghanistan which effectively bankrupts the country. But Higginbotham makes a compelling case that the political and social effects of Chernobyl signify something larger than mere disillusion with the Soviet Union’s nuclear ambitions to include disillusion with the entire system and the ideologies that underpin it.
This disillusion appears when the government cordons off town of Pripyat and cuts phone lines. But what’s most alarming to the town’s citizens—more so than the wreckage off in the distance blackening the sky, more so than the reports of patients admitted to the hospital vomiting and incoherent and covered in burns—is the sudden silence from their household radios. This signals that the Chernobyl disaster was one of the earliest and most dramatic instances of the Soviet people beginning to mistrust their government and to question whether the extent to which the Communist Party’s dedication to its own ideology is sincere. As the steady stream of Party propaganda goes silent across households in Pripyat, this foreshadows the impact the Chernobyl disaster will have on the broader Soviet population.
Perhaps the strongest evidence of this thesis, however, comes 15 years after the 1991 fall of the Soviet Union and Gorbachev’s removal from office, when the former General Secretary acknowledges that Chernobyl affected the USSR’s fall more than his failed economic reforms.
The theme of heroism in service of a doomed cause re-emerges throughout the book, as brave men and women sacrifice their health and often their lives in the pursuit of halting a disaster that’s become out of control. For example, as General Antoshkin’s helicopter pilots fly dangerously close to the gaping maw of the ruined reactor while absorbing severe doses of radiation, many of the scientists on the ground question the likelihood that much the material dropped from the sky hits its mark. When one scientist advises Legasov to discontinue the drops, which are potentially ruining the health of the helicopter pilots in vain, Legasov disagrees—not with the premise that the drops are hopeless, but with the notion that their efficacy matters at all. He says, “People won’t understand if we do nothing. We have to be seen to be doing something” (190). This kind of thinking will infect much of the recovery and cleanup efforts surrounding Chernobyl. In the absence of any real emergency contingency plans, the Soviet Union must make up for this by giving off the appearance of acting swiftly and decisively, of being in control. But this emphasis on appearance over reality results in an enormous amount of wasted suffering on the part of individuals involved in relief efforts. Later, these acts of heroism—in vain or not—act as powerful propaganda tools when the USSR begins to shape the story of the relief efforts as a triumph of bravery.
Nowhere are the costs of this doomed bravery more disturbingly rendered than in Chapter 13, in which Higginbotham checks in on the patients at Hospital Six. For their courageous yet futile efforts to flood the ruined reactor—during which they waded around in highly irradiated water for two hours—Toptunov and Akimov both die horrific deaths. Toptunov suffocates to death in the night after his radiation-ravaged lungs fail. Akimov’s fate is even more grisly. After suffering acute pneumonia and a total metabolic collapse, “his intestines disintegrated and oozed from his body in bloody diarrhea” (235). Both of these deaths stemmed from Brukhanov’s stubbornness and Dyatlov’s dismissal of Tregob when he told him the core is already gone.
While other heroic efforts don’t end in swift, gruesome death, many of them are no less effective at containing the consequences of the blaze. The hundreds of coalminers and engineers who work to build the heat-exchanger—hastily approved in another effort to keep up appearances—toil in 140 degree Fahrenheit heat while choking on the toxic gas emitted by their welding tools. By the time they finish the heat-exchanger, the temperature of the core seems to have dropped on its own. The exchanger “was never even turned on” (246). The efforts of the tens of thousands of reservists who participate in the liquidation effort are also of only marginal benefit. “Only ten square kilometers of the zone would ever be truly decontaminated. A total cleanup would have required nearly six hundred million tonnes of topsoil to have been removed and buried as nuclear waste. And, even with the seemingly unlimited manpower at the disposal of the Soviet Union, this was regarded as simply impossible” (257).
The findings of the 1988 scientific expedition into the bowels of the Chernobyl Sarcophagus tell a deeply deflating story about the heroic efforts of the Chernobyl relief workers. For example, of the 16,000 tons of material dropped by Antoshkin’s helicopter pilots at great risk to their own health, only a tiny amount reaches its target. Most piled up uselessly in the corners of the reactor building. Perhaps even more disheartening is the fact that Zborovsky’s courageous mission to release the water suppression tanks fails, and furthermore may have actually done more harm than good had it succeeded. That’s because it’s the standing water left in the tanks that, rather than causing a steam explosion, finally cools the molten uranium fuel and halts its downward flow toward the groundwater. When taking stock of all of the heroic deeds involved with the Chernobyl disaster—the firefighters and plant workers who stay behind to fight the blaze, the helicopter pilots dropping material from above, the attempt to release the water suppression tanks—most have little to no effect on the fate of the core, which essentially burns itself out. Knowing this gives even the undoubtedly heroic elements of the Chernobyl story a muted quality.
At various points in the book, Higginbotham exposes the stark differences between the Soviet nuclear industry and that of its counterparts in the United States and Western Europe. Aside from the West’s mandate to use safer—though less efficient—PWR reactors rather than the dangerously unstable RBMK reactors, the most dramatic divide can found in the United States’s relative transparency in the wake of the Three Mile Island partial meltdown and the Soviet Union’s obsessive dedication to secrecy around multiple nuclear accidents, most of which result in far more damage than the Three Mile Island incident. That incident is largely the result of human error, as plant operators take various actions in violation of U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission rules. The fact that the United States even has a dedicated federal governing body overseeing the activity in its nuclear plants is itself a significant divergence from the Soviet Union, where around a half-dozen agencies enforce rules with little consistency or efficiency.
The lack of preparation for a calamity like Chernobyl also offers another counterpoint to the United States’s approach to emergency planning. The Soviet Union’s poor performance in this area is a result of both its dangerous over-confidence in its nuclear program but also its refusal to invest heavily in less sexy technologies like computers which are indispensable tools for modeling disaster simulations. “In the West, scientists had been simulating the worst-case scenarios of reactor meltdowns for fifteen years, in ongoing research that had only intensified after the disaster in Three Mile Island. But Soviet physicists had been so confident of the safety of their own reactors that they had never bothered indulging in the heretical theorizing of beyond design-basis accidents. And appealing directly to Western specialists for help at this stage seemed unthinkable” (194).
Toward the end of the book, Higginbotham opens a debate weighing the risks and rewards of embracing nuclear power. Despite his disturbing descriptions of Acute Radiation Syndrome and his use of Prometheus metaphors to conjure images of angry gods punishing humanity for harnessing fire, the book’s most consistent argument is this: The Chernobyl explosion is less the result of mankind manipulating forces better left alone and more the inevitable endpoint of a Soviet experiment mired in secrecy, hubris, and corruption. From that perspective, it is not nuclear power that should receive blame for the horrifying outcomes associated with the Chernobyl disaster, but the Soviet men and the system that shaped them and ultimately crushed them under the weight of a dysfunctional bureaucracy. On the contrary, Higginbotham believes nuclear power may be the only thing preventing a global cataclysm that would dwarf the Chernobyl explosion. He writes,
Nuclear power plants emit no carbon dioxide and have been statistically safer than every competing energy industry, including wind turbines. And at last, more than seventy years after the technology’s inception, engineers were finally developing reactors with design priorities that lay not in making bombs but in generating electricity. In principle, these fourth-generation reactors would be cheaper, safer, smaller, more efficient, and less poisonous than their predecessors and could yet prove to be the technology that saves the world (357).
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